Grim Outlook

Winter is coming and the pandemic is raging.

grim outlook

Arkansas has set several COVID related records in the last few days.  Yesterday saw new records for number of new total1 cases at 1,878, currently active cases, and hospitalizations.  The last two records were eclipsed with higher numbers today, with total1 active cases at 12,152 and hospitalizations at 722. Similar records are being set for the nation as a whole and across most other states.

With winter nearing, people will be spending more of their time indoors. Holidays are on the horizon where many people attend or host traditional gatherings.  With this pandemic, many will forego these, but many won’t.

It’s also a time of shopping and holiday bargains.  While much of this can be done online, it’s likely that many will throng the stores despite the ongoing health crisis.

Hospitalizations and deaths are lagging indicators of  COVID.  The recent and current increasing case counts in Arkansas and the nation will result in further increases in hospitalizations and deaths.

For Arkansas, the 30-day average daily number of deaths is 18.9 deaths per day.  While this has been higher, the overall trend is increasing.

In the last week, including today, Arkansas has tallied 8,638 new COVID cases1 for a daily average of 1,234.  Over the last 30 days, the daily case count has steadily climbed, with a marked change in the 30-day average over the last several days, and, today, is 1022.8 cases per day.

With the darker and colder days of winter, more time indoors, family gatherings and seasonal shopping and celebration, opportunities for the spread of the COVID virus will inevitably rise.

Winter is coming and the outlook is grim.


  1. These cases include the cases confirmed by PCR tests and those cases determined by other means, including antigen testing.
autumn, commentary, covid, health, life, science

Comments on this entry are closed.

  • Hi Mike – our Covid is challenging … I just keep as safe as I can – and hope family and friends do too. All the best – Hilary
    Hilary Melton-Butcher recently posted…Updates and odds and ends … # 1My Profile

    • Mike Goad Nov 8, 2020 Link

      Far too many people are in denial over this and refuse to take the proper actions and that is a large part of the problem.
      Mike Goad recently posted…Grim OutlookMy Profile

  • Ramana Rajgopaul Nov 8, 2020 Link

    The outlook here too is grim with the onset of winter. Some areas of the country are more prone to the pandemic like our capital region but, most parts of the rest of the country are also very vulnerable.
    Ramana Rajgopaul recently posted…Guru Dakshina.My Profile

    • Mike Goad Nov 8, 2020 Link

      We have one small city — about 30,000 people — and several towns in our county. The county has a population of about 70,000 and a population density of about 84 people per square mile (33/km2). In the last 4 recorded days, there have been 115 cases tallied.

      I am SO ready for this to be over, but we will remain vigilant because the chances are still NOT worth taking any risks with this.
      Mike Goad recently posted…Grim OutlookMy Profile

  • Cheerful Monk Nov 8, 2020 Link

    Yes, it will go on for a long time, maybe into 2022. Take care and stay safe.

    • Mike Goad Nov 8, 2020 Link

      We are doing what we can. Staying on top of this helps motivate me. I am so concerned about those who have to be out there for whatever reason.
      Mike Goad recently posted…Fort Parker PalisadesMy Profile

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