A Week of War: Oil Markets, Global Tensions, and the Rising Cost of Conflict

One week into the expanding conflict between the United States, Israel, and Iran, the consequences are rippling far beyond the battlefield. Military strikes, civilian casualties, disrupted shipping lanes, and surging oil prices have combined to produce one of the most volatile geopolitical moments in recent years. The situation remains fluid, but several developments are already reshaping global markets and diplomatic alignments.

The most immediate global impact has been the disruption of energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz. This narrow passageway connects the Persian Gulf with the Gulf of Oman and carries roughly one-fifth of the world’s oil shipments. Since the start of hostilities, tanker traffic moving through the strait has slowed dramatically. Maritime tracking data shows that oil tankers leaving the Persian Gulf fell sharply during the past week, with some days seeing little or no tanker traffic at all. Even a temporary halt in shipments through this corridor can send shockwaves through global energy markets.

Those shockwaves are already visible in oil prices. Brent crude and West Texas Intermediate crude have both surged sharply during the past week. The spike represents the steepest weekly gain in global oil prices since the early stages of the pandemic in 2020. Energy analysts say markets are reacting to the possibility that exports from the Persian Gulf could remain disrupted for weeks. If shipments through the Strait of Hormuz remain constrained, the supply shock could drive prices even higher.

Higher crude prices are quickly translating into higher gasoline costs. The average price of gasoline in the United States has risen noticeably in recent days, climbing above three dollars per gallon nationally. Energy economists note that fuel prices often serve as one of the most visible indicators of economic stress for households, making them politically sensitive during periods of international crisis.

Beyond energy markets, the human cost of the conflict has mounted rapidly. Reports from the region indicate that more than a thousand people have been killed inside Iran since the fighting began. Casualties have also been reported in Israel and Lebanon as hostilities spread across multiple fronts. Among the dead are several U.S. service members stationed in the region. Military officials confirmed that six American troops have been killed during the fighting, including a 20-year-old soldier from Iowa.

One of the most disturbing incidents occurred early in the conflict when a strike hit a school in the Iranian city of Minab. Iranian authorities reported that more than 160 people were killed in the attack, many of them children attending the school. Investigations into the strike are ongoing, but the episode has intensified international scrutiny of the war’s civilian toll.

At the same time, diplomatic and economic responses to the crisis are creating complex ripple effects in global politics. In an attempt to ease tightening energy supplies, the United States recently granted a temporary waiver allowing Indian refiners to purchase Russian oil cargoes that had already been stranded at sea due to sanctions. The waiver is limited in scope and duration, but it highlights the difficult balancing act governments face when sanctions policy intersects with urgent energy shortages.

The move has also drawn attention because of the broader geopolitical landscape. Russia remains deeply involved in its war against Ukraine, and Western sanctions have been designed to limit Moscow’s oil revenues. Allowing some Russian oil to reach markets—even temporarily—illustrates the pressure governments face when disruptions threaten global energy stability.

Meanwhile, the conflict’s strategic implications continue to evolve. Analysts warn that the longer the fighting continues, the greater the risk that additional regional actors could become involved. The Persian Gulf hosts numerous U.S. military bases, and the surrounding waters remain critical to global commerce. Any escalation that further restricts shipping could deepen the economic consequences already beginning to emerge.

For now, uncertainty dominates the outlook. Energy traders, shipping companies, and governments are closely monitoring the Strait of Hormuz and other key transportation routes. Even if the fighting were to end quickly, it could take time for maritime traffic and energy markets to return to normal patterns. Insurance costs for tankers, military deployments, and lingering security concerns may continue to affect the flow of oil long after the shooting stops.

The crisis is a reminder of how tightly interconnected modern geopolitics and global economics have become. A regional conflict in the Middle East can rapidly influence fuel prices at American gas stations, supply chains across Asia, and diplomatic calculations in Europe. As the war enters its second week, the immediate challenge remains containing the violence while preventing wider disruptions to global stability.

Whether that goal can be achieved remains uncertain. What is already clear is that the economic and human consequences of the conflict are unfolding simultaneously—and the world is watching closely as events continue to develop.


Sources:

  • ChatGPT analysis;
  • Adam Mocker video: “BREAKING: Trump Causes Scary BACKFIRE”
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Renée Nicole Good (April 2, 1988 – January 7, 2026)

Renée Good did not live a public life. She was not a political figure, not a professional activist, not someone who sought attention. She was a private person whose days revolved around work, family, and the ordinary responsibilities that rarely make headlines. Her life moved along the same quiet tracks as millions of others.

What ended that life was not ordinary.

On the morning of January 7, 2026, Renée Good was shot and killed by an agent of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) during an enforcement operation in Minneapolis. She had just dropped her child off at school. She was in her vehicle when she encountered ICE agents operating in her neighborhood.

Video and witness accounts show a tense, fast-moving scene. Within seconds, an ICE agent fired multiple shots at Good’s vehicle. She was struck and critically wounded. She was transported to a hospital but did not survive.

That is the central fact. A mother driving through her own neighborhood in daylight was shot by a federal immigration agent and died.

Before that moment, Good’s life was defined by the same kinds of commitments that structure most people’s days. Friends and relatives describe someone attentive, grounded, and focused on family. She did not build a public persona. She was not known for confrontations with authorities or for seeking political visibility. Nothing in her life suggests she expected to be at the center of a fatal federal operation on a weekday morning.

Her death immediately became part of a national argument about immigration enforcement, federal authority, and the growing presence of armed operations in civilian neighborhoods. Vigils formed. Protests followed. Officials issued statements. Commentators debated legality and policy.

But before the debate, there was a person.

Renée Good was a U.S. citizen. She was a parent. She was someone whose life existed within a web of relationships — children, family, friends, coworkers — who expected her to come home that day. Instead, her name entered the news cycle as a casualty of a federal enforcement action carried out far from any border.

In cases like this, investigations typically involve cooperation between local police, state authorities, and federal agencies. That has not been the pattern here. In the aftermath of Renée Good’s killing, local and state law enforcement were effectively sidelined, with the review process remaining under federal control. That exclusion has intensified public distrust and deepened concerns about transparency and accountability.

When the agency involved in a fatal shooting also controls the investigative pathway, the question of independence stops being abstract. It becomes central. Community members and elected officials have raised objections, arguing that an incident involving the death of a civilian in a residential neighborhood demands outside scrutiny, not internal review.

Whether or not formal findings are eventually issued, the structure of the response has already shaped how the public understands what happened. The absence of visible, independent oversight has left many people with the sense that the mechanisms meant to provide accountability were never fully engaged.

That institutional posture now sits alongside the personal loss. A mother is gone, and the systems that might clarify how and why she died remain largely out of public reach.

Renée Good did not choose to become a symbol in a national dispute over immigration enforcement. She did not volunteer to be a case study in federal use-of-force policy. She was a civilian whose life ended in an encounter with state power in the middle of an American city.

Most of her life unfolded outside public view. It was made up of routines, responsibilities, and the steady, unremarkable acts that hold families and communities together.

That ordinariness does not make her story smaller.

It makes the loss harder to ignore.

 

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Yellowstone and 1923

The American settings for Yellowstone and 1923 seem amazingly familiar to me. This photo was taken in 2010, east of the real Paradise Valley, Montana.

Seeing that country—and walking the streets of 21st-century Bozeman—in person makes it easy to understand why the settings of these shows feel less like fiction and more like memory.

The shared universe of Yellowstone and 1923 presents a sweeping fictional vision of the American West where land is destiny and survival shapes character as much as heritage. Though set a century apart, both stories unfold in the same rugged Montana landscape, a place where geography is not just backdrop but driving force. Mountains, open valleys, harsh winters, and vast distances shape daily life and determine who thrives and who falls behind.

In Yellowstone, the modern West is technically connected to the wider world by highways, airports, and digital communication, yet it still operates by older, unwritten rules. The central ranch exists as a near-feudal stronghold surrounded by competing interests. Wealthy developers see opportunity in resorts and luxury homes. Politicians see power. Corporations see untapped resources. A neighboring Native nation seeks long-denied sovereignty and economic footing. The result is a setting where courtrooms and boardrooms matter, but so do fences, grazing rights, and who can physically hold ground. Tradition clashes with modern expansion, and the land itself becomes the ultimate prize.

Life here is physically demanding and emotionally isolating. Long winters, unpredictable weather, and the constant labor of ranching keep people tied to the rhythms of nature. Despite modern conveniences, the culture remains rooted in self-reliance, loyalty, and suspicion of outsiders. Social codes often carry as much weight as formal law, and disputes can turn personal quickly. The setting reinforces a worldview where strength, endurance, and family legacy are valued above comfort.

1923 shows the same territory at a far more precarious moment in history. The frontier era has technically ended, but stability has not yet arrived. Ranching families face drought, economic instability, and violent competition for land and livestock. Infrastructure is limited; travel is slow and dangerous. Medical care is scarce, and communication with the outside world is delayed by distance and technology. Survival is not assumed — it is earned season by season.

The pressures in this earlier era come from multiple directions. Expanding government oversight begins to touch rural life. Wealthy investors and large operations threaten smaller ranchers. Conflicts between cattle and sheep operations intensify, turning grazing land into contested territory. Nature itself feels hostile, with failed rains, brutal winters, and predators adding constant risk. The setting conveys a society in transition, where older frontier freedoms collide with emerging systems of control and commerce.

Across both timelines, the land remains constant while the threats evolve. In 1923, the fight is against nature, scarcity, and lawlessness. In Yellowstone, the battle shifts toward legal, political, and economic forces that can take land without firing a shot. Yet the emotional core of the setting stays the same: a deep attachment to place and the belief that identity is inseparable from the ground beneath one’s feet.

Together, the two series create a generational portrait of the West as a place that never stops being contested — not just geographically, but culturally and morally.

 

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That Pig

A few nights since, as two of the regiments were at Annapolis Junction, on their way here, a mischievous soldier, who was placed on guard at some distance from the main body, as he was walking his rounds, shot a pig. A member of the other regiment, hearing the report, hastened to the spot, and demanded that the pig should be divided, or he would inform his officers. The prize was accordingly “partitioned,” and served up to the friends of each party. The officers, however, observing the bones, soon found out the guilty party; and, on questioning him, he replied that he did it in obedience to the orders he had received, “not to let any one pass without the countersign.” He saw the pig coming toward him, and challenged it; but, receiving no answer, he charged bayonet on it, and, the pig still persisting, he shot it. The officers laughed heartily at the explanation, and sent him to find the owner, and pay for the pig, which he states was the hardest job he ever performed.


Civil War Tales 002

Brockett, Dr. L. P., The Camp, The Battle Field, and the Hospital; or, Lights and Shadows of the Great Rebellion, Philadelphia: National Publishing Company, 1866

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Bondi

Pam Bondi as AG — Brutal Reality

1) She turned DOJ into Trump’s personal legal muscle

From the moment she was sworn in on February 5, 2025, Bondi stopped treating the Justice Department like an impartial law-enforcement agency and started running it like a political arm of the White House. She issued memoranda redefining DOJ lawyers’ roles to “vigorously defend presidential policies”, effectively subordinating legal ethics to political loyalty. That directive has created internal turmoil and ethics complaints accusing her of pressuring career prosecutors to violate professional conduct rules.

A recent Atlantic profile bluntly states she has transformed DOJ into an institution where the rule of law takes a back seat to the president’s desires.

2) She weaponized the department — literally

Bondi created a “Weaponization Working Group” on day one to review and retaliate against prosecutions of Trump allies and enemies of the MAGA circle, including digging into investigations like the January 6 probe and past special counsels — not to enforce justice, but to settle political scores.

This is not theoretical — critics and legal experts have warned that this unit functions as a political strike force, not a legitimate legal oversight mechanism.

3) She’s embroiled in transparency scandals

Bondi’s handling of the Jeffrey Epstein files has sparked bipartisan backlash. Despite a statutory requirement to release full documents, the DOJ under her leadership has released heavily redacted materials and withheld millions more, prompting accusations that the department is shielding powerful individuals and flouting the law.

Democrats accused her of violating the Epstein Files Transparency Act, and even sought (and narrowly failed along party lines) to hold her in contempt of Congress for noncompliance.

4) She doubles down on hard-line enforcement narrative

Bondi has relentlessly defended federal crackdowns — including controversial immigration enforcement operations in Minnesota that left two U.S. citizens dead — sometimes contradicting undeniable video evidence. In her public communications, she blames local policies and demands state data and cooperation, effectively threatening states with leverage in exchange for compliance.

This aggressive posture amplifies political conflict instead of de-escalating constitutional clashes.

5) She’s under fire from across the political spectrum

  • Republican scrutiny: Even Trump allies have privately grumbled about her effectiveness.
  • Democratic oversight: Congressional Democrats have confronted her at hearings, accusing her of weaponizing DOJ and sidelining independence.
  • Coalition backlash: State attorneys general from multiple states formally rebuked her over coercive tactics tied to immigration enforcement and data demands, calling them unlawful and threatening state sovereignty.

6) Outcome: DOJ autonomy eroded

Bondi’s actions have not just been controversial — they actively reconfigure DOJ’s constitutional role. Rather than being the nation’s chief prosecutor and guardian of the rule of law, she has turned the department into:

  • a political combat arm for the president,
  • a pressuring force against state independence,
  • and a shield for administration allies.

That’s not a shakeup — that’s a power grab through legal institutions, and it’s already reshaping how justice is administered in the U.S.

 

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Drawing Rations

There are some episodes in the life of a soldier provocative of laughter, and that serve to disperse, in some manner, the ennui of camp life. A farmer, who did not reside so far from a camp of “the boys” as he wished he did, was accustomed to find every morning that several rows of potatoes had disappeared from the field. He bore it for some time, but when the last of his fine field of kidneys began to disappear, he thought the thing had gone far enough, and determined to stop it. Accordingly, he made a visit to camp early next morning, and amused himself by going round to see whether the soldiers were provided with good and wholesome provisions. He had not proceeded far, when he found a “boy” just serving up a fine dish of kidneys, which looked marvellously like those that the good wife brought to his own table. Halting, the following colloquy ensued:

“Have fine potatoes here, I see.”

“Splendid,” was the reply.

“Where do you get them?”

“Draw them.”

“Does government furnish potatoes for rations?”

“Nary tater.”

“I thought yon said you drew them?”

“Did. We just do that thing.”

“But how? if they are not included in your rations.”

“Easiest thing in the world—wont you take some with us?” said the soldier, as he seated himself opposite the smoking vegetables.

“Thank you. But will you oblige me by telling how you draw your potatoes, as they are not found by the commissary?”

“Nothing easier.  Draw ’em by the tops mostly! Sometimes by a hoe—if there’s one left in the field.”

“Hum! ha! Yes; I understand. Well, now, see here! If you wont draw any more of mine, I will bring you a basketful every morning, and draw them myself!”

“Bully for you, old fellow!” was the cry, and three cheers and a tiger were given for the farmer.

The covenant was duly observed, and no one but the farmer drew potatoes from that field afterward.

Brockett, Dr. L. P., The Camp, The Battle Field, and the Hospital; or, Lights and Shadows of the Great Rebellion, Philadelphia: National Publishing Company, 1866

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The Killing of Alex Pretti and Its Aftermath

On January 24, 2026, federal immigration agents fatally shot 37-year-old Minneapolis resident Alex Jeffrey Pretti, an intensive care unit nurse and U.S. citizen, during a controversial immigration enforcement operation in the Whittier neighborhood of Minneapolis. Pretti’s death occurred amid heightened tensions over federal immigration raids that had drawn national attention and local protest.

According to bystander video and verified reporting, Pretti was on the street holding a phone and recording agents when he became involved in a physical struggle with several agents. Multiple videos show him initially filming officers and, at one point, attempting to assist a woman who had been shoved by agents. As the confrontation unfolded, an agent appears to remove a firearm from Pretti’s waistband during a scuffle, and within seconds more shots were fired at his body while he was on the ground.

Federal officials, including the Department of Homeland Security (DHS), initially defended the shooting by asserting that Pretti “approached U.S. Border Patrol officers with a 9mm semi-automatic handgun” and resisted disarmament, prompting what they described as defensive gunfire. Pretti was a lawful gun owner with a permit to carry, but video reviewed by multiple outlets showed him with a phone in his hand and no visible weapon at the critical moments captured.

Family, friends, and coworkers characterized Pretti as a compassionate and dedicated nurse who cared deeply for his patients and community. Colleagues at the Minneapolis Veterans Affairs Health Care System remembered him for his empathy and professionalism, recounting moments when he went above and beyond for patients and families. His family disputes federal claims that he posed a threat and maintains that Pretti never brandished a weapon.

Pretti’s killing has become emblematic of broader concerns about the conduct of federal immigration agents operating in urban environments without the same training or oversight applied to local police departments. His death followed another federal shooting earlier in January in the same city, raising alarm among civil rights advocates, local leaders, and residents about the escalation of force during protests and enforcement actions.

In response to Pretti’s death, protests erupted not only in Minneapolis but in other cities and states, with demonstrators calling for accountability, transparency, and an end to federal immigration operations perceived as heavy-handed. Labor unions, community groups, and civil liberties organizations have condemned the shooting and urged federal authorities to withdraw enforcement teams and fully investigate the incident.

Minnesota officials took legal action to preserve evidence, securing a court order to prevent DHS from altering or destroying investigative material related to the shooting. At the same time, political debate intensified, with elected officials across the spectrum calling for investigations into federal tactics and the role of immigration enforcement in domestic law enforcement.

The killing of Alex Pretti has sparked a national conversation about the use of force by federal agents, the rights of bystanders and legal gun owners during protests, and the balance between immigration enforcement and civil liberties. As investigations continue and protests persist, Pretti’s death remains a flashpoint in the ongoing debate over federal authority and public safety.

Bibliography

News Sources

  • Fox 9: Minnesota man, ICU nurse Alex Pretti shot and killed by Border Patrol agents during Minneapolis operation.
  • Star Tribune: Here’s what to know about federal agents’ killing of Alex Pretti.
  • AP News: The man killed by a US Border Patrol officer in Minneapolis was an ICU nurse, family says.
  • KARE 11: Family of Pretti issues statement on his death.
  • CBS News: Two federal hearings after Border Patrol kills Alex Pretti; Trump sending Tom Homan to Minnesota.
  • Reuters: Federal immigration agents kill another US citizen in Minneapolis, sparking protests.
  • Business Insider: AFL-CIO calls for ICE to leave Minnesota after Pretti shooting.

Summarized Reference Source

  • Wikipedia: Killing of Alex Pretti (detailed incident summary and background).

 

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Alex Pretti (March 1988 – January 2026)

Alex Pretti was a 37-year-old Minneapolis resident whose life ended abruptly when he was shot by federal agents in late January 2026. In the days since his death, fragments of video, official statements, and public reaction have begun to shape a national narrative. But before that moment—before the footage, the outrage, and the investigations—Pretti lived a life defined less by confrontation than by care, discipline, and quiet responsibility.

Born in March 1988, Pretti came of age during a period shaped by post-9/11 instability, economic uncertainty, and widening political fracture. Those who knew him describe someone grounded rather than performative—methodical, observant, and steady under pressure. These traits would later define both his professional life and the way he carried himself in public spaces.

Pretti trained as a registered nurse, ultimately working in intensive care, a specialty that demands not only technical skill but emotional endurance. ICU nursing is not abstract work; it is intimate, exhausting, and often unforgiving. It requires vigilance, precision, and the ability to make rapid decisions while absorbing human loss as a routine occupational hazard. Perretti chose that environment deliberately. At the time of his death, he was employed at a Veterans Affairs medical facility, caring for patients whose lives were already shaped by long exposure to institutional stress and bodily risk.

Colleagues described him as competent and composed—someone who did not dramatize his role but took it seriously. He was not known as a showman or a crusader. He worked long shifts, returned home, and repeated the process. In a profession strained nationwide by burnout and attrition, Perretti stayed.

Outside of work, Pretti lived a relatively low-profile life. He was legally permitted to carry a firearm and had completed the required training and background checks to do so. Friends and family have emphasized that he treated that responsibility cautiously, not as an identity or political signal. He did not have a public reputation for volatility or extremism, nor was he known for seeking conflict.

That context matters because the event that ended his life unfolded not in a private space, but in public—captured partially on video and immediately contested in interpretation.

On the day of the shooting, federal agents were conducting an enforcement operation in Minneapolis amid heightened tensions around immigration actions. Video shows a chaotic scene: shouting, physical force, confusion, and bystanders reacting in real time. Pretti appears in the footage attempting to assist a woman who had been knocked to the ground. Moments later, he is sprayed with chemical irritant, taken down by multiple agents, and shot.

What is not visible in the available recordings is Pretti firing a weapon or threatening officers with one. What is visible is escalation—rapid, asymmetric, and final. The precise sequence of decisions made by the agents involved remains under investigation, as does the justification for lethal force. Those determinations will be made, if at all, through formal processes rather than public debate.

But the biographical facts are not in dispute: a 37-year-old ICU nurse died on a city street after intervening in a volatile encounter involving federal authority. That fact alone places his death at the intersection of several fault lines in contemporary American life—policing, protest, institutional power, and the thin margin between order and overreach.

In the aftermath, Pretti’s name became a symbol before it had time to be a memory. Protests formed. Commentary hardened. Competing narratives raced ahead of confirmed details. This is now routine in the United States: the person disappears behind the argument.

Yet stripped of slogans and speculation, Alex Pretti’s life was neither extraordinary nor disposable. He was not famous. He did not seek martyrdom. He spent his working hours keeping other people alive—often anonymously, often without thanks. His death was sudden, violent, and irreversible, but it should not eclipse the substance of the life that preceded it.

He is survived by family, colleagues, and a community now forced to reconcile grief with unanswered questions. Investigations may clarify responsibility. Courts may assign consequences. None of that will restore what was lost.

Alex Perretti lived 37 years. Most of them were quiet. That is not a flaw in the story. It is the story.

 

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The First Lady Who Never Moved In

There is a particular irony in the fact that the First Lady of the United States does not live in the White House. Not temporarily, not quietly, not under the guise of renovation or security—but by choice, and apparently permanently. According to reporting by the Daily Beast, she has been living full-time in a tower at Mar-a-Lago since October 2025, turning the presidential residence into something closer to a symbolic backdrop than an actual home.

The White House has always been more than a building. It is a working residence, yes, but also a civic stage—one that carries expectations about visibility, participation, and shared public life. First Ladies have used that space in radically different ways across history, but almost all have understood that presence matters. Whether hosting events, shaping social initiatives, or simply occupying the role visibly, living in the White House has signaled engagement with the institutional life of the presidency itself.

This absence breaks with that tradition in a way that feels both intentional and revealing. Mar-a-Lago is not just another private residence; it is a commercial property, a social club, and a long-standing extension of Donald Trump’s personal brand. To choose it over the White House is to prioritize a private, controlled environment over a public, historically constrained one. It suggests a preference for insulation rather than participation, for personal comfort over civic symbolism.

There is also an unavoidable contrast between rhetoric and reality. The Trump political brand has long emphasized nationalism, tradition, and the centrality of American institutions. Yet here, one of the most visible symbols of those institutions—the White House as a family home—is effectively sidelined. The result is a quiet contradiction: a presidency that insists on the gravity of power while treating its most iconic residence as optional.

This choice also reflects a broader pattern that has marked Trump-era politics: the blending of public office with private space. Mar-a-Lago has repeatedly functioned as a parallel seat of influence, a place where politics, business, and social life blur together. The First Lady’s reported permanent residence there reinforces that dynamic, turning what should be a clear boundary into a porous one. The presidency does not merely follow the Trumps; it relocates with them.

For the public, this matters less because of personal preference and more because of what it signals about governance. Physical presence in the White House has never been legally required, but it has carried an implicit acknowledgment that public office entails public visibility. Opting out of that space reads as opting out of part of the role itself—an unspoken admission that symbolism, continuity, and institutional norms are negotiable.

In the end, the irony is not simply that the First Lady lives in a Florida tower instead of the White House. It is that a presidency so invested in power, image, and dominance appears curiously detached from the very institution meant to embody them. The White House still stands, lights on and flags flying—but, in this moment, it feels less like a home and more like a prop.

 

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Rumors

It’s been rumored for at least 5 years.

Entertainment/celebrity sites highlight moments when they’ve appeared together at events, or when reportedly sitting close to each other.

Some commentators speculate that he functions as an informal adviser.

Social reports and gossip pieces mention that they live near each other, with stories of regular visits between their residences cited as adding fuel to speculation.

What Has Been Denied.

  • Kristi Noem’s team and Cory Lewandowski’s lawyers call the stories false.
  • No credible evidence exists, just rumors and theories.

____________________________

The image was generated by AI using modern photos and a photo of Noem from a high school yearbook, from a high school performance of “Cheaper By The Dozen.”

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